Friday, February 27, 2009

Quick Blurbs - Why Conventional Arguments Can't Discredit Memphis for a #1 Seed

Teams behind Memphis in Pythag SoS, that u will never hear "they played a soft schedule" about simply because of conference affiliation:

Memphis: .6793(47th)
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Wake Forest: .6779(48th)
Purdue: .6710(54th)
Oklahoma: .6693(56th)
Clemson: .6541(69th)
Marquette: .6458(73rd)
Missouri: .6090(90th)

You can do the same exercise with RPI and find the same(if not more teams) result.

The other main argument I hear is that these numbers have been reached without any marquee wins. Winning @Gonzaga by 18 certainly qualifies as that, though conventional wisdom not valuing Gonzaga(even though the market does) or even OOC road games is not something that surprises me.

It's worth noting that there are legitimate arguments at this point for keeping them as a #2 seed - Oklahoma can have it's losses without Blake Griffin reduced in weight, and otherwise it's W-L/SoS resume meets the test and Connecticut has not yet played worse without Dyson. That's not the point. The point is that to throw out qualifiers without going through the numbers is embarrassing, especially when you're an analyst on a large sports network.

Will try to do a favorites update after Poofler updates odds today.

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