Beat: Getting crushed to open NBA season.
Brag: 8th row seats to Warriors' season opener.
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Football Midseason Update
Mid-season update(FO projections):
The Good:
2.6u Balitmore Ravens over 6 Wins -115 9.3
2.5u Dallas Cowboys to MISS the playoffs +180 91.5% to MISS
2.5u Dallas Cowboys under 10.5 Wins +125 7.9
2u Detroit Lions under 6.5 Wins +125 2.3
1.8u St. Louis Rams under 6.5 Wins +115 5.1
1.4u Tampa Bay Bucs over 8 Wins -115 10.1
1.3u San Francisco 49ers under 6 Wins +145 4.9
1.3u Cleveland Browns under 8 Wins +100 6.5
1.2u Carolina Panthers over 8 Wins -115 10.4
0.8u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +850 22.9%
.5u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +1350 22.9%
The Bad:
2.5u Seattle Seahawks to win NFC West -110 1.9%
1.3u Pittsburgh Steelers under 9 Wins +110 10.5
1.3u Atlanta Falcons under 4.5 Wins +120 8.9
1.1u Minnesota Vikings over 8.5 Wins -135 6.9
Up in the air:
2.5u Green Bay Packers over 8.5 Wins +125 9.0
2.2u Philadelphia Eagles over 9 Wins -115 9.8
1.3u Oakland Raiders under 6 Wins -115 5.4
1.3u Houston Texans over 7.5 Wins -105 6.5
0.8u Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East +450 14.2%
The Good:
2.6u Balitmore Ravens over 6 Wins -115 9.3
2.5u Dallas Cowboys to MISS the playoffs +180 91.5% to MISS
2.5u Dallas Cowboys under 10.5 Wins +125 7.9
2u Detroit Lions under 6.5 Wins +125 2.3
1.8u St. Louis Rams under 6.5 Wins +115 5.1
1.4u Tampa Bay Bucs over 8 Wins -115 10.1
1.3u San Francisco 49ers under 6 Wins +145 4.9
1.3u Cleveland Browns under 8 Wins +100 6.5
1.2u Carolina Panthers over 8 Wins -115 10.4
0.8u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +850 22.9%
.5u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +1350 22.9%
1.0u | (NCAA) UNC Tar Heels over 6.5 Wins +105 |
1.3u | (NCAA) Texas A&M under 6.5 Wins +130 |
The Bad:
2.5u Seattle Seahawks to win NFC West -110 1.9%
1.3u Pittsburgh Steelers under 9 Wins +110 10.5
1.3u Atlanta Falcons under 4.5 Wins +120 8.9
1.1u Minnesota Vikings over 8.5 Wins -135 6.9
1.3u | (NCAA) Colorado Bluffs under 5.5 Wins +120 |
1.0u | (NCAA) Tennessee Vols over 8 Wins -105 |
0.9u | (NCAA) Clemson Tigers over 9.5 Wins -125 |
Up in the air:
2.5u Green Bay Packers over 8.5 Wins +125 9.0
2.2u Philadelphia Eagles over 9 Wins -115 9.8
1.3u Oakland Raiders under 6 Wins -115 5.4
1.3u Houston Texans over 7.5 Wins -105 6.5
0.8u Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East +450 14.2%
1.0u | (NCAA) Miami Hurricanes over 7.5 Wins +105 |
Thursday, October 16, 2008
LOL Rays Bullpen
Today I had the Tampa Bay Rays +148, 3u to win 4.44u($1200 to win $1778) to win Game 5. I was up ~15BBs(~$2,000) in poker when Tampa was up 7-0 in the 7th inning. 8 Boston Red Sox runs later I was also down 47BB in poker(~$3,600).
It's commonly said that in this business, you can tell whether you'll make it by how you react to your biggest downswings. Well, the shit hit the fan tonight[mentally, financially its just drop(albeit a pretty big one) in the bucket] and yet, I'm very happy with everything. Granted, I've just met some new people and gotten involved in some activities that have me quite excited, but I'm cheerful through the low points of my gambling odyssey as well. I will not be stopped.
Edit: Joey and I have been comparing the ALCS to the Presidential Race.
Rays - Blue Uniforms, Young, Message of Change, Large lead throughout the series, BJ Upton, Carl Crawford, Cliff Floyd, Edwin Jackson,
Red Sox - Red Uniforms, The Old Guard, Experienced, Been here before, All White Guys.
Knowing this, Obama should drop 4-5 points tomorrow :O
It's commonly said that in this business, you can tell whether you'll make it by how you react to your biggest downswings. Well, the shit hit the fan tonight[mentally, financially its just drop(albeit a pretty big one) in the bucket] and yet, I'm very happy with everything. Granted, I've just met some new people and gotten involved in some activities that have me quite excited, but I'm cheerful through the low points of my gambling odyssey as well. I will not be stopped.
Edit: Joey and I have been comparing the ALCS to the Presidential Race.
Rays - Blue Uniforms, Young, Message of Change, Large lead throughout the series, BJ Upton, Carl Crawford, Cliff Floyd, Edwin Jackson,
Red Sox - Red Uniforms, The Old Guard, Experienced, Been here before, All White Guys.
Knowing this, Obama should drop 4-5 points tomorrow :O
Thursday, September 18, 2008
End of Baseball Season
All my regular season baseball bets are locked in. Went much better than my regular season betting.
8-1 on season win, 0-3 on futures, +17.59u
Wins:
6u Mariners u85(-115)/84.5(-115)/84(-105) Wins
1u Tigers u94.5 Wins -120
4u Devil Rays o72/74 Wins -120/-125
2u Devil Rays o82 Wins +195
2u Orioles o64.5 Wins -115
6u Marlins o69.5 Wins +100
2.5u Joe Blanton u15.5 Wins -130
2.5u BJ Upton BA u.295 -125 (.276)
Losses:
2u Angels u93 Wins -115 (90.9 Wins)
1u A's to win AL West 15:1
4u Indians to win AL Central 2:1
1u Yankees to win AL East +150
No Actioned:
2.5u Gary Matthews' Jr. u91.5 RBIs -125 (Not enough games played)
Pending Post-Season:
2u Mets to win the World Series 10:1
8-1 on season win, 0-3 on futures, +17.59u
Wins:
6u Mariners u85(-115)/84.5(-115)/84(-105) Wins
1u Tigers u94.5 Wins -120
4u Devil Rays o72/74 Wins -120/-125
2u Devil Rays o82 Wins +195
2u Orioles o64.5 Wins -115
6u Marlins o69.5 Wins +100
2.5u Joe Blanton u15.5 Wins -130
2.5u BJ Upton BA u.295 -125 (.276)
Losses:
2u Angels u93 Wins -115 (90.9 Wins)
1u A's to win AL West 15:1
4u Indians to win AL Central 2:1
1u Yankees to win AL East +150
No Actioned:
2.5u Gary Matthews' Jr. u91.5 RBIs -125 (Not enough games played)
Pending Post-Season:
2u Mets to win the World Series 10:1
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Start of Football Season
Here are my Football Futures(going to adding more in the coming days):
7/16
Added 7/17
Added 7/18
Added 7/20
Added 7/27
Added 8/1
Added 8/2
Added 8/17
Added 8/28
7/16
2.5u | Green Bay Packers over 8.5 Wins +100 | ||
2.6u | Philadelphia Eagles over 9 Wins -115 | ||
1.0u | Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East +450 | ||
1.4u | Tampa Bay Bucs over 8 Wins -115 | ||
2.6u | Balitmore Ravens over 6 Wins -115 | ||
0.8u | Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +850 | ||
1.2u | Carolina Panthers over 8 Wins -115 | ||
1.4u | Oakland Raiders under 6 Wins -115 |
Added 7/17
2.5u | Dallas Cowboys to MISS the playoffs +180 | ||
2.5u | Seattle Seahawks to win NFC West -110 | ||
2u | Detroit Lions under 6.5 Wins +125 | ||
1.3u | Pittsburgh Steelers under 9 Wins +110 | ||
2.5u | Dallas Cowboys under10.5 Wins +125 |
0.5u | Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +1350 |
Added 7/27
1.3u | Atlanta Falcons under4.5 Wins +120 |
Added 8/1
1.3u | Houston Texans over 7.5 Wins -105 |
1.8u | St. Louis Rams under 6.5 Wins +115 |
1.0u | San Francisco 49ers under 6 Wins +130 |
Added 8/2
1.3u | (NCAA) Colorado Bluffs under 5.5 Wins +120 |
Added 8/17
1.0u | (NCAA) Tennessee Vols over 8 Wins -105 |
1.0u | (NCAA) Miami Hurricanes over 7.5 Wins +105 |
0.9u | (NCAA) Clemson Tigers over 9.5 Wins -125 |
1.0u | (NCAA) UNC Tar Heels over 6.5 Wins +105 |
1.3u | Cleveland Browns under 8 Wins +100 |
1.1u | Minnesota vikings over 8.5 Wins -135 |
Added 8/28
1.3u | (NCAA) Texas A&M under 6.5 Wins +130 |
Middle of Baseball Season
All-star break. Here's where my bets stand. (Crockpot Pace Projections in parenthesis)
The Good:
1u A's to win AL West 15:1 (28.4%)
2u Angels u93 Wins -115 (90.9 Wins)
6u Mariners u85(-115)/84.5(-115)/84(-105) Wins (67.2 Wins)
1u Tigers u94.5 Wins -120 (83.4 Wins)
4u Devil Rays o72/74 Wins -120/-125 (93.2 Wins)
2u Devil Rays o82 Wins +195 (93.2 Wins)
2u Orioles o64.5 Wins -115 (75.7 Wins)
6u Marlins o69.5 Wins +100 (80.1 Wins)
2.5u Joe Blanton u15.5 Wins -130 (5 Wins, On pace for 8.3 Wins)
2.5u BJ Upton BA u.295 -125 (.276)
2.5u Gary Matthews' Jr. u91.5 RBIs -125 (34 RBIs, On pace for 58.0 RBIs)
The Bad:
2u Mets to win the World Series 10:1 (7.6%)
4u Indians to win AL Central 2:1 (1.2%)
1u Yankees to win AL East +150 (14.6%)
The Good:
1u A's to win AL West 15:1 (28.4%)
2u Angels u93 Wins -115 (90.9 Wins)
6u Mariners u85(-115)/84.5(-115)/84(-105) Wins (67.2 Wins)
1u Tigers u94.5 Wins -120 (83.4 Wins)
4u Devil Rays o72/74 Wins -120/-125 (93.2 Wins)
2u Devil Rays o82 Wins +195 (93.2 Wins)
2u Orioles o64.5 Wins -115 (75.7 Wins)
6u Marlins o69.5 Wins +100 (80.1 Wins)
2.5u Joe Blanton u15.5 Wins -130 (5 Wins, On pace for 8.3 Wins)
2.5u BJ Upton BA u.295 -125 (.276)
2.5u Gary Matthews' Jr. u91.5 RBIs -125 (34 RBIs, On pace for 58.0 RBIs)
The Bad:
2u Mets to win the World Series 10:1 (7.6%)
4u Indians to win AL Central 2:1 (1.2%)
1u Yankees to win AL East +150 (14.6%)
Wednesday, July 2, 2008
WSOP Event #53 Update
Table started with 10 players - 7 left now. I need to win to advance and get a pay bump. I have ~14,000 chips left when average stack is about 45,000 with blinds at 1,000-1,500 and 1,500-3,000 stakes.
On the off chance I advance tomorrow(I would handicap it at ~8%), the final table will feature more in-depth coverage and will be shown live on ESPN 360 and http://www.worldseriesofpoker.com/ around 10pm. If I get there I will be dedicating hands I play on TV to my people. First prize is $278,180.
Play to win.
Edit: Someone asked if I was having fun - I'm enjoying every second like it could end on the first hand today.
Unconfirmed, but I think they're going to start coverage on ESPN 360 at 2pm.
On the off chance I advance tomorrow(I would handicap it at ~8%), the final table will feature more in-depth coverage and will be shown live on ESPN 360 and http://www.worldseriesofpoker.com/ around 10pm. If I get there I will be dedicating hands I play on TV to my people. First prize is $278,180.
Play to win.
Edit: Someone asked if I was having fun - I'm enjoying every second like it could end on the first hand today.
Unconfirmed, but I think they're going to start coverage on ESPN 360 at 2pm.
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