Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Football Midseason Update

Mid-season update(FO projections):
The Good:
2.6u Balitmore Ravens over 6 Wins -115 9.3
2.5u Dallas Cowboys to MISS the playoffs +180 91.5% to MISS
2.5u Dallas Cowboys under 10.5 Wins +125 7.9
2u Detroit Lions under 6.5 Wins +125 2.3
1.8u St. Louis Rams under 6.5 Wins +115 5.1
1.4u Tampa Bay Bucs over 8 Wins -115 10.1
1.3u San Francisco 49ers under 6 Wins +145 4.9
1.3u Cleveland Browns under 8 Wins +100 6.5
1.2u Carolina Panthers over 8 Wins -115 10.4
0.8u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +850 22.9%
.5u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +1350 22.9%
1.0u
(NCAA) UNC Tar Heels over 6.5 Wins +105
1.3u
(NCAA) Texas A&M under 6.5 Wins +130

The Bad:
2.5u Seattle Seahawks to win NFC West -110 1.9%
1.3u Pittsburgh Steelers under 9 Wins +110 10.5
1.3u Atlanta Falcons under 4.5 Wins +120 8.9
1.1u Minnesota Vikings over 8.5 Wins -135 6.9
1.3u
(NCAA) Colorado Bluffs under 5.5 Wins +120
1.0u
(NCAA) Tennessee Vols over 8 Wins -105
0.9u
(NCAA) Clemson Tigers over 9.5 Wins -125

Up in the air:
2.5u Green Bay Packers over 8.5 Wins +125 9.0
2.2u Philadelphia Eagles over 9 Wins -115 9.8
1.3u Oakland Raiders under 6 Wins -115 5.4
1.3u Houston Texans over 7.5 Wins -105 6.5
0.8u Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East +450 14.2%
1.0u
(NCAA) Miami Hurricanes over 7.5 Wins +105



Thursday, October 16, 2008

LOL Rays Bullpen

Today I had the Tampa Bay Rays +148, 3u to win 4.44u($1200 to win $1778) to win Game 5. I was up ~15BBs(~$2,000) in poker when Tampa was up 7-0 in the 7th inning. 8 Boston Red Sox runs later I was also down 47BB in poker(~$3,600).

It's commonly said that in this business, you can tell whether you'll make it by how you react to your biggest downswings. Well, the shit hit the fan tonight[mentally, financially its just drop(albeit a pretty big one) in the bucket] and yet, I'm very happy with everything. Granted, I've just met some new people and gotten involved in some activities that have me quite excited, but I'm cheerful through the low points of my gambling odyssey as well. I will not be stopped.

Edit: Joey and I have been comparing the ALCS to the Presidential Race.
Rays - Blue Uniforms, Young, Message of Change, Large lead throughout the series, BJ Upton, Carl Crawford, Cliff Floyd, Edwin Jackson,
Red Sox - Red Uniforms, The Old Guard, Experienced, Been here before, All White Guys.

Knowing this, Obama should drop 4-5 points tomorrow :O

Thursday, September 18, 2008

End of Baseball Season

All my regular season baseball bets are locked in. Went much better than my regular season betting.

8-1 on season win, 0-3 on futures, +17.59u

Wins:
6u Mariners u85(-115)/84.5(-115)/84(-105) Wins
1u Tigers u94.5 Wins -120
4u Devil Rays o72/74 Wins -120/-125
2u Devil Rays o82 Wins +195
2u Orioles o64.5 Wins -115
6u Marlins o69.5 Wins +100
2.5u Joe Blanton u15.5 Wins -130
2.5u BJ Upton BA u.295 -125 (.276)

Losses:
2u Angels u93 Wins -115 (90.9 Wins)
1u A's to win AL West 15:1
4u Indians to win AL Central 2:1
1u Yankees to win AL East +150

No Actioned:
2.5u Gary Matthews' Jr. u91.5 RBIs -125 (Not enough games played)

Pending Post-Season:
2u Mets to win the World Series 10:1

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Start of Football Season

Here are my Football Futures(going to adding more in the coming days):

7/16
2.5u Green Bay Packers over 8.5 Wins +100
2.6u Philadelphia Eagles over 9 Wins -115
1.0u Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East +450
1.4u Tampa Bay Bucs over 8 Wins -115
2.6u Balitmore Ravens over 6 Wins -115
0.8u Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +850
1.2u Carolina Panthers over 8 Wins -115
1.4u Oakland Raiders under 6 Wins -115

Added 7/17
2.5u Dallas Cowboys to MISS the playoffs +180
2.5u Seattle Seahawks to win NFC West -110

Added 7/18
2u
Detroit Lions under 6.5 Wins +125
1.3u
Pittsburgh Steelers under 9 Wins +110

Added 7/20
2.5u
Dallas Cowboys under10.5 Wins +125
0.5u
Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North +1350

Added 7/27
1.3u
Atlanta Falcons under4.5 Wins +120

Added 8/1
1.3u
Houston Texans over 7.5 Wins -105
1.8u
St. Louis Rams under 6.5 Wins +115
1.0u
San Francisco 49ers under 6 Wins +130

Added 8/2
1.3u
(NCAA) Colorado Bluffs under 5.5 Wins +120

Added 8/17
1.0u
(NCAA) Tennessee Vols over 8 Wins -105
1.0u
(NCAA) Miami Hurricanes over 7.5 Wins +105
0.9u
(NCAA) Clemson Tigers over 9.5 Wins -125
1.0u
(NCAA) UNC Tar Heels over 6.5 Wins +105
1.3u
Cleveland Browns under 8 Wins +100
1.1u
Minnesota vikings over 8.5 Wins -135

Added 8/28
1.3u
(NCAA) Texas A&M under 6.5 Wins +130

Middle of Baseball Season

All-star break. Here's where my bets stand. (Crockpot Pace Projections in parenthesis)

The Good:
1u A's to win AL West 15:1 (28.4%)
2u Angels u93 Wins -115 (90.9 Wins)
6u Mariners u85(-115)/84.5(-115)/84(-105) Wins (67.2 Wins)
1u Tigers u94.5 Wins -120 (83.4 Wins)
4u Devil Rays o72/74 Wins -120/-125 (93.2 Wins)
2u Devil Rays o82 Wins +195 (93.2 Wins)
2u Orioles o64.5 Wins -115 (75.7 Wins)
6u Marlins o69.5 Wins +100 (80.1 Wins)
2.5u Joe Blanton u15.5 Wins -130 (5 Wins, On pace for 8.3 Wins)
2.5u BJ Upton BA u.295 -125 (.276)
2.5u Gary Matthews' Jr. u91.5 RBIs -125 (34 RBIs, On pace for 58.0 RBIs)

The Bad:
2u Mets to win the World Series 10:1 (7.6%)
4u Indians to win AL Central 2:1 (1.2%)
1u Yankees to win AL East +150 (14.6%)

Wednesday, July 2, 2008

WSOP Event #53 Update

Table started with 10 players - 7 left now. I need to win to advance and get a pay bump. I have ~14,000 chips left when average stack is about 45,000 with blinds at 1,000-1,500 and 1,500-3,000 stakes.

On the off chance I advance tomorrow(I would handicap it at ~8%), the final table will feature more in-depth coverage and will be shown live on ESPN 360 and http://www.worldseriesofpoker.com/ around 10pm. If I get there I will be dedicating hands I play on TV to my people. First prize is $278,180.

Play to win.

Edit: Someone asked if I was having fun - I'm enjoying every second like it could end on the first hand today.

Unconfirmed, but I think they're going to start coverage on ESPN 360 at 2pm.

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

World Series of Poker Event #53

I'm in the money(guaranteed 5k) in Event #53. Round 2 starts at 10PM PST.

I'll be playing until 2AM tonight if I advance and then Day 2 is tomorrow. You can catch updates here:
Updates
Chip Counts


Edit: I can't nap - I'm tremendously excited.

Even though they took my name down and interviewed me briefly, it appears my name is not on WSOP's website. You can probably catch updates from the guys at 2+2 here.
Sweat Thread